Volume 1,Issue 6
FDI 对GDP影响案例分析：基于部分线性单指标面板无交叉分位数回归模型
本文基于64个国家2010-2020年间的面板数据，构建部分线性单指标面板无交叉分位数回归模型，系统分析外商直接投资及其他宏观经济变量对经济增长的分布异质性影响机制。实证结果显示FDI在各分位点均对人均GDP具有显著正向影响，且该作用在中高分位区间更为显著；贸易、汇率等变量对经济增长的影响具有分位异质性，呈现出在不同经济发展阶段下的非对称结构效应；商品与服务出口的边际效应最为显著，其估计系数的绝对值最大。本文研究不仅为揭示FDI 作用机制提供了新的计量工具，也为发展中国家制定更具分层性的FDI引导与宏观调控政策提供了量化依据。
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